Wednesday, February 27, 2008

It's That Time Of Year Again

Fantasy baseball time! I'm no expert, but I have done relatively well these past few years in private leagues. This year I've stepped up to three leagues total: Garrett Anderson League (GAL), comprised of friends from college; Bain Fantasy League (BFL), my work league; and Tampa3 Rays of Death (TRD), a league of mostly of friends of a coworker (Caf). I'm most concerned about the TRD, because I spent a fair amount of time discussing strategy with Caf last season, and now I'm not going to be able to do that without tipping my hand. 

Draft strategy has always been my weakest point; after reviewing my last four drafts, I'm surprised I ever finished above .500. My failure rate (number of draftees nor appearing on my final roster) is around 50% each season (my numbers for last season are obscured because I went crazy with roster moves in the playoffs to maximize various stats). I'm especially bad in the later rounds: for the last 8 rounds, I'm 0-8 in '05, 1-8 in '06 (Eric Brynes in the 18th), and 2-8 in '07 (Ian Snell in the 20th and Shane Victorino in the 21st). I don't expect 100% success with those last picks, but come on! 12.5% is pretty damned lame. So while it's fun to focus on the first 10 rounds, I'll be focusing on the last 10 rounds for my draft prep .

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